How Amazon Plans to Transform Grocery in 2022

A Top 10 Grocer — Twice

Last month, in a second year dominated by the COVID-19 pandemic, Amazon cemented its leadership position in dunnhumby’s Retailer Preference Index (RPI) for U.S. grocery by landing the No. 1 and the No. 5 spots in the ranking. Amazon took first place, and Amazon Fresh took fifth place (the first time a food retailer has nabbed two spots in the top 10). 

“The pandemic has massively accelerated changes in how customers buy their groceries, and their behaviors are continuing to evolve,” says Grant Steadman, president of North America for dunnhumby. “2021 was the year that grocery retail became truly omnichannel. Retailers who delivered on their customers’ evolving needs in-store and online performed best. This was mostly the larger players, who used their advantages to consolidate their positions. The challenges for most other retailers are significant, but a number of midsize grocers gained momentum by understanding their customers better and differentiating their offering accordingly. The report aims to provide some direction on why and how retailers can best position themselves to win with customers, in this era of the Great Reinvention.”

The overall RPI rankings are the result of a statistical model that predicts how retailer execution on various customer needs — preference drivers — affects lasting emotional bonds formed with customers, as well as near- and long-term financial performance. The study includes key findings such as:

• Price and quality are no longer head and shoulders above all other customer preference drivers in securing superior, long-term sales growth and emotional connection with shoppers. 
• Retailers in the first quartile have long-term sales growth that’s nine times higher than retailers in the fourth quartile, two times higher than retailers in the third quartile, and one and a half times higher than retailers in the second quartile. They also have superior short-term momentum to those in the other three quartiles.
• Grocery retail is now truly omnichannel, as digital’s share of total grocery sales more than doubled during the pandemic, from 5% to 10% of sales, yet half of the U.S. grocery shopping population doesn’t buy online and has no plans to. Nearly all online shoppers still buy in brick and mortar, where roughly 90% of all customer dollars are currently spent.
• Digital is king in driving momentum as Amazon has demonstrated over the past two years by being ranked as the top U.S. grocery retailer. 

With a strong balance sheet, a burgeoning software-as-a-service business and a strengthened physical stores team in place, Amazon’s grocery ambitions are ready for liftoff.

‘New Capabilities in Grocery’

When Amazon reported fourth quarter earnings on Feb. 3, the company was still growing sales by double digits from the pandemic-elevated levels of 2020. Amazon said net sales increased 9% to $137.4 billion. Net income increased to $14.3 billion, a near-doubling of profits. Amazon also reported that its physical store sales (including food retail banners Whole Foods Market, Amazon Fresh, and Amazon Go) were up 16% during the quarter. It was the third straight quarter of double-digit growth for the company's physical stores.

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said the company is seeing "higher costs driven by labor supply shortages and inflationary pressures" and that these issues are persisting into the first quarter due to Omicron. But, he said, despite these short-term challenges, "we continue to feel optimistic and excited about the business as we emerge from the pandemic." Jassy specifically referenced excitement over "new capabilities" the company is building in grocery.

Amazon is still following the same “short-term pain in exchange for long-term gain” growth strategy it has championed since the company first went public in 1997, one that occasionally disappoints investors but strikes fear into the hearts of competitors.

The company’s forecast for fourth-quarter revenue calls for year-over-year growth between 4% and 12%. The guidance for operating income is between $0 and $3 billion. Of course, part of the reason for decreases in profitability is that costs are exacerbated by the current labor environment.

“Across Amazon, we have hired more than 600,000 people globally during the pandemic,” Helbling says. “For Amazon Fresh, every time we open a store, we’re creating hundreds of new job opportunities to help us deliver a shopping experience that customers will love, right in their own communities. These are great jobs with industry-leading pay and benefits.”

By the end of 2021, Amazon Fresh stores had created more than 6,000 jobs, according to the company. 

“Our Amazon Fresh store team is strong and growing,” affirms Stephenie Landry, VP of Amazon Grocery. “I’ve enjoyed getting to know employees and seeing first-hand how they support each other and our customers, while visiting our stores. Because of this amazing team, we’re able to bring customers a new, innovative shopping experience.”

At the end of the third quarter, Amazon had 1.5 million employees and its starting hourly wages were at least $15 per hour for all full-time, part-time and seasonal employees and contractors. In addition, employees now have opportunities to own Amazon stock, participate in 401(k) plans with a 50% company match, and enroll in paid life and accident insurance. Last year, Amazon began offering signing bonuses of up to $3,000 as it aimed to hire 125,000 delivery and warehouse workers across the United States. The company also raised its average starting wage to $18 an hour. 

“All of our full- and part-time positions offer employees highly competitive wages, along with a variety of benefits packages starting on the employee’s first day on the job,” Helbling notes. “We also provide employees the opportunity to learn new skills and grow with us at Amazon, as well as access to our innovative Career Choice program, which provides education and training for in-demand jobs.”

The other short-term hit on Amazon’s profits has been supply chain-related. Helbling admits that the company hasn’t been “immune to the supply chain challenges everyone is facing currently.

“To address it, we are continuing to add staff, creating work opportunities for people who want them, innovating across our supply chain, and working to get inventory closer to customers so we can provide products and improve delivery speeds,” he adds. 

As for how the retailer is replenishing its Amazon Fresh stores, Helbling says that it’s using local and national suppliers, and leveraging the Whole Foods Market supply chain already in place.

“We use a variety of suppliers, including both national suppliers and local suppliers, and we do share some suppliers with Whole Foods Market,” he explains. “For example, we source many of our meat products, fresh seafood and produce from some of the same suppliers and farms that supply Whole Foods Market.”

In October 2020, Grand Rapids, Mich.-based SpartanNash, which has been working with Amazon since 2016 and supplies Amazon Fresh stores, filed paperwork to sell as much as 15% of its stock to Amazon by 2027. If Amazon is looking to build an integrated grocery distribution vertical, a minority stake in SpartanNash will provide all of the learnings it needs to do that. 

Just Walk Out

It seems longer ago, but it’s only been four years since Amazon debuted technology at an 1,800-square-foot Amazon Go store in Seattle that allowed shoppers to exit a store without stopping at a checkout. Amazon’s Just Walk Out (JWO) technology offers shoppers the ability to enter, shop for the items they want and simply exit the store. Shoppers using Just Walk Out also have the option to use Amazon One, a contactless way for people to enter, identify and pay using their palm. After customers leave the store, those who use the Just Walk Out experience receive a digital receipt. 

In September, the company revealed that it would be rolling out JWO to full-size supermarkets: select Whole Foods Market and Amazon Fresh stores. Amazon scaling contactless payment options and its JWO innovation in 2022 couldn’t be more ideally timed. The pandemic has prompted consumers to favor the perceived safety and convenience of innovations such as JWO. According to Amazon, it’s hearing from shoppers across its grocery ecosystem that they want to skip the hassle, stress and pandemic-unfriendly crowding associated with checkout lanes.

“We’ve heard from customers how much they appreciate the checkout-free shopping experience that Just Walk Out technology offers at both Amazon’s stores and other retailers’ stores,” says Dilip Kumar, VP, physical retail and technology at Amazon. 

For Amazon, the artificial intelligence-driven technology could dramatically reduce labor spend and improve inventory management and overall in-store operations. In addition, it makes sense for the company to want to showcase the capabilities of JWO technology in as many stores as possible as other retailers mull whether to buy the tech. According to Bloomberg, Amazon Go collaborated with Starbucks to open a new store concept involving Just Walk Out technology, and Amazon works with third-party customers such as British grocery chain Sainsbury’s and airport c-store operator Hudson Group to enable select stores with Just Walk Out technology. Amazon One is now available at more than 70 Amazon physical retail stores and Whole Foods Market stores, along with third-party locations. 

As for Amazon Fresh, JWO is poised to roll out in more of those stores as well.

“To date, we’ve opened 23 Amazon Fresh stores in the U.S. that enable customers to skip the checkout line thanks to our Just Walk Out technology or the Amazon Dash Cart,” Helbling says. “We look forward to bringing this convenient grocery shopping experience to even more customers in California, Illinois, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Washington state, where we’ve confirmed more Amazon Fresh stores will open.”

Last month, Amazon showed how serious it is about scaling its grocery business when it welcomed Tony Hoggett to its headquarters in Seattle. Hoggett had been with Tesco, the United Kingdom’s biggest food retailer, for more than 31 years and was chief strategy and innovation director. Hoggett has joined Amazon as SVP of physical stores, reporting to Dave Clark, chief executive of its worldwide consumer business.

In a Jan. 7 LinkedIn post, Hoggett wrote: “Well, today is officially my last day at Tesco. It’s time for me to say farewell to a truly amazing set of work colleagues. … I wish you all the very best of luck for the future. Hello to the Amazon team, very excited to be working with you all.”

Hoggett had a reputation at Tesco for running exceptional multiformat retail operations, a perfect fit for Amazon’s grocery ambitions. He will need to partner with Helbling and Landry as the company looks to scale its grocery business over the next three to five years.

Helbling says that he’s focused on applying learnings as the company continues to open more grocery stores.

“All customers want a neighborhood grocery store that offers a broad selection of high-quality foods available at low prices, and a convenient shopping experience,” he continues. “Our Amazon Fresh stores deliver on that. But we also recognize that each community where we open a store is unique and has different needs. We focus on listening to customer feedback and adjust selection based on what we’re hearing to meet the needs of customers shopping that store. For example, at our Amazon Fresh store in Seattle, we kept hearing from customers that they wanted collard greens in our prepared foods hot bar, so we added them to our menu.”